Everything for one round in one place: circuit identity, who the track favours, the form going in, and the model's call. Built once per circuit, with the live layer refreshing itself.
Round 10 of 22 · This weekend
Spa-Francorchamps · Belgium · 7.004 km · 44 laps · Clockwise
All times local (GMT+2) with reader-timezone conversion.
Notable corners
The analytical heart of the page. What this track asks of a car, and which teams and drivers it should reward downstream.
Demand profile · 0 (low) to outer ring (extreme)
In one line
A power-and-high-speed circuit with a downforce compromise built in. The long climb out of Eau Rouge and Raidillon onto the Kemmel straight rewards engine power and low drag, while the sweeps of the middle sector at Pouhon ask for aerodynamic load. The best lap belongs to the car that finds both, and the famously changeable Ardennes weather can rewrite the weekend at any point.
The DNA above, mapped onto the current grid: how well each team's 2026 car and power unit suit this circuit's demands.
Fit 0 to 100 · editorial 2026 car strength at this circuit · form arrow shows recent trend
A car-independent driver-skill rating for this circuit, with the real career record alongside. Specialists overperform here; bogey-track names consistently underperform.
Career to date · avg finish and grid over starts at this circuit · form = trend across last 5 rounds
How it was won
Full recap to follow.
Key moment
Full recap to follow.
Notable retirements
Full recap to follow.
Where the drivers' and constructors' championships stand going into the weekend. The arrow on each row shows whether that driver or team is trending up or down on recent form.
Conditions at the race start, from the latest model run.
At race start
Estimated, overcast
Showers possible
South-westerly, gusting
One-stop is the usual default over the long lap, but changeable Ardennes weather and a long pit lane can swing the weekend toward a two-stop or a reactive call.
At least one intervention in this share of the last 4 races here.
Recent-seasons average (all on-track passes). Passing rated easy here.
Indicative stop windows by strategy.
Five Reds race model · win probability over current pace, the demand profile above, and the race-day conditions.
Aggregated winner market against the model's implied price. Positive value means the model rates the driver higher than the book.
Model versus market prices appear once the books open for this round.
Reader predictions, polls and fantasy picks are coming soon.